For most of this war, if you read about Ukrainian drones going after a Russian warship, that ship was somewhere in the Black Sea. The Baltic Fleet, based a long way north around St. Petersburg and Kaliningrad, has mostly been a background character.<\/p>\n
That may be changing. Ukraine’s security service, the SBU, says it “planned and carried out” a strike on a Russian missile corvette called the Naro-Fominsk<\/em> on the night of November 10 to 11. According to the SBU, that strike was part of a much bigger drone raid on Ust-Luga, an oil and gas export port on the Russian side of the Gulf of Finland.<\/p>\n If you haven’t run into the SBU before, it’s Ukraine’s main security agency, so on paper it’s closer to a domestic intelligence and counterintelligence service than a navy. In practice, it’s also run plenty of Ukraine’s long-range drone strikes inside Russia, including the Ust-Luga half of this raid.<\/p>\n The SBU’s post on Telegram<\/a> is pretty light on the ship itself, though. It doesn’t give a position or a time for the hit. The damage is a blank too, including whether the corvette can still sail and fight. The Ukrainian word the agency uses means a hit, not a sinking, and that’s where I’m staying. No photo or video of the ship strike came with the post, either.<\/p>\n A few English-language write-ups went further and called the ship destroyed. The SBU’s own post doesn’t say that.<\/p>\n The Naro-Fominsk<\/em> is a Project 21631 small missile ship, usually called by its class name, Buyan-M. It’s 243 feet long and about 36 feet wide, displaces about 1,050 tons fully loaded, and draws about 8.5 feet of water. By warship standards, that’s small.<\/p>\n Basically, Russia’s idea with these ships is to put a big punch on a small, shallow hull. The Naro-Fominsk<\/em> carries one eight-cell vertical launcher, the 3S14, which can fire Kalibr land-attack cruise missiles or Oniks anti-ship missiles. If you’ve followed this war at all, you’ve heard of Kalibr. Russian ships have been launching it at Ukrainian targets for years.<\/p>\n The SBU describes the ship as a Kalibr and Oniks carrier. Being able to carry them and carrying them that night are two pretty different things, and nobody has said what was in the launcher.<\/p>\n Then there’s everything else on deck: a 100mm A-190 gun, a 30mm AK-630M-2 Duet close-in gun, and Gibka launchers for Igla-1M short-range missiles. That’s frankly a lot of hardware for a ship with a crew of 52.<\/p>\n The ship came out of the Zelenodolsk shipyard in Tatarstan, where its keel was laid on February 23, 2018. You’ll see some reports saying it was commissioned in 2022, but the SBU’s original Ukrainian says launched, which lines up with the Russian Defense Ministry’s launch announcement<\/a> on December 9, 2022. It entered service on December 25, 2023, according to the russianships.info registry.<\/p>\n You have to keep three separate stories apart here, because they aren’t the same confirmation.<\/p>\n Estonia’s defense minister, Martin Herem, told Estonian public broadcaster ERR<\/a> that an explosion happened on a Russian Baltic Fleet ship in the Gulf of Finland at around 5:30 a.m. local time on November 11. He said smoke came from the ship afterward and that it turned back toward St. Petersburg. He was also careful about the cause: “Whether Ukrainians are behind this attack or some accident happened there, we can’t confirm.” He didn’t name the ship.<\/p>\n Finland’s version came in two pieces. A senior Finnish official confirmed to Yle<\/a> that Finland picked up an attack near Gogland, a Russian-held island the Finns call Suursaari, about 25 miles south of Finland and 34 miles north of Estonia. Finland’s Defense Forces also restricted sea and air traffic in the gulf’s eastern end for a while as a precaution.<\/p>\n Then Brig. Gen. Markku Viitasaari, director of national defense at Finland’s Ministry of Defense, told Helsingin Sanomat that Finnish sensors caught flashes and smoke coming off the ship while it was in international waters. Apparently, the Finns first figured it was shooting at drones. Later sensor readings pointed to at least one explosion on board. Finland hasn’t said who did it or with what, and it didn’t name the ship either.<\/p>\n And Russia? Leningrad region governor Alexander Drozdenko confirmed a fire in the Ust-Luga port area after a drone attack, three injured workers, and 150 drones shot down over the region that night. Russia hasn’t confirmed a hit on the Naro-Fominsk<\/em> by name.<\/p>\n So is the ship Estonia and Finland saw the Naro-Fominsk<\/em>? Probably, but that’s me connecting the dots, not an official doing it. Telegram channels, Exilenova+ among them, are also claiming crew casualties. I can’t verify that, so I’d treat it as a rumor for now.<\/p>\n UNITED24 Media says defense analysts describe this as “the first Ukrainian attack on an operational Russian warship at sea in the region” since the full-scale invasion began. The qualifiers matter there. UNITED24’s own list of earlier Baltic Fleet hits includes a sister Buyan-M, the Serpukhov<\/em>, damaged at the Baltiysk naval base in 2024, plus the corvette Boikiy<\/em> in a Kronstadt dry dock.<\/p>\n If a Russian corvette in the Baltic sounds familiar, that was a different ship. In September we covered a 39-foot Danish drone boat that filmed a 330-foot Russian corvette<\/a> cruising past it. Nobody hit anything that time.<\/p>\n The Ust-Luga half of the raid is better documented. The SBU says drones from its Alpha special operations center hit the Novatek-Ust-Luga terminal, damaging several tanks that hold about 33,000 tons each and causing a fuel spill. It also says tanks at the Ust-Luga Oil terminal were damaged and caught fire, and that fires broke out at the Faktor terminal and the Luzhskaya railroad station.<\/p>\n Ukraine’s General Staff added its own preliminary list: five petroleum product tanks with about 940,000 barrels of combined capacity, a hydrocracking unit that caught fire, an air-cooling unit, a pumping station, and a tanker-loading pier.<\/p>\n A hydrocracker, if you’re wondering, is the refinery unit that uses hydrogen, heat and high pressure to break heavy oil down into lighter fuels like diesel. It’s generally one of the more expensive units at a refinery.<\/p>\n On the Russian side, Drozdenko reported an emergency shutdown at a transformer substation. One of the three injured workers went to the hospital in satisfactory condition, and the other two declined, according to regional official Nikita Dontsov.<\/p>\n The raid spilled over borders a bit, too. Herem told ERR that some drones briefly crossed into Estonian airspace, and that NATO fighters were airborne during the attack but didn’t shoot any down. The SBU, meanwhile, says it’s still checking reports that Russian combat helicopters were destroyed that night.<\/p>\n Drones and hulls have had a busy few weeks elsewhere, too. Off Bulgaria, a 19,960-ton container feeder sank after three drone-boat hits<\/a>, in an attack nobody has officially claimed.<\/p>\n Back at Ust-Luga, Drozdenko said on November 12 that the fire had been localized and that air in nearby villages tested within normal limits.<\/p>\nSo what exactly is a Buyan-M?<\/h2>\n
So who has actually confirmed anything?<\/h2>\n
Ust-Luga was burning the same night<\/h2>\n